According to researchers, by 2051, Britain would be comparatively more diverse than what it is today. Ethnic minorities are expected to make for one-fifth of the population in Britain. As per the experts at the University of Leeds, the ethnic minority groups would increase to about twenty percent in 2051 from the eight percent in 2001. With this, the study also says that the population would jump to 78 million from 59 million in 2001.
It is also being predicted that these ethnic minority groups would migrate to more prosperous areas from the most deprived localities. More so, the black and the Asian population are expected to rise by large numbers.
At the same time, the White British and Irish groups are being assumed to grow at a much slower rate. When compared, there are higher chances of immigration by Other Whites to grow the fastest. This is especially being contributed to by the European people, people from the US and the Australasia walking in to UK.
It is also being predicted that there would be a fall in the total number of white people in UK. This is going to fall to 79% in 2051 from the 90% in 2009. In the meantime, immigrant groups from South Asian countries such as India, Bangladesh and Pakistan are expected to grow very much.
This study took 3 years to be completed and projects the annual population till 2051 for Scotland, England, Wales and Northern Ireland. At the same time, it is very difficult to predict exactly how people move in and out of a nation.
In order to conclude on the findings, existing data of sixteen different ethnic groups were used to generate a computerized model. This model was used to set a trend on ethnic population for the future under various circumstances.